"Scenarios" Reviews Washington's Efforts to Mediate Between Damascus and Tel Aviv
Israeli incursions in southern Syria and Washington's attempts to mediate between Damascus and Tel Aviv.
SUMMARY
The article discusses Israeli incursions in southern Syria since December 2024 and the United States' efforts through envoy Tom Brake to mediate between Damascus and Tel Aviv despite Israel's refusal to withdraw. It highlights major obstacles due to Israeli ambitions and Israel's internal political situation, Syria's insistence on withdrawal as a condition for any agreement, and anticipates a continued state of neither peace nor war with rising popular resistance.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
- Israeli incursions in southern Syria have exceeded 400 square kilometers since December 2024.
- The United States seeks security arrangements between Damascus and Tel Aviv through envoy Tom Brake.
- Israel refuses to withdraw from occupied areas, with obstacles due to expansionist ambitions and Israel's internal situation.
- The Syrian government conditions any agreement on Israeli withdrawal.
- The most likely scenario is a continued state of neither peace nor war with potential escalation of popular resistance.
CORE SUBJECT
US mediation efforts between Damascus and Tel Aviv amid Israeli incursions
The escalating Israeli incursions in southern Syria since December 8, 2024, represent an attempt to impose a new security reality by controlling areas exceeding 400 square kilometers.
In this context, the United States, through its envoy Tom Brake, seeks to reach security arrangements between Damascus and Tel Aviv, despite Israel's refusal to withdraw from the occupied areas.
American efforts face significant obstacles, represented by Israeli expansionist ambitions and the internal situation of Benjamin Netanyahu's government, who is wanted by the International Criminal Court, while the Syrian government insists on the necessity of Israeli withdrawal as a fundamental condition for any agreement.
Experts believe the most likely scenario is the continuation of a state of neither peace nor war, with the possibility of increased popular resistance if the Israeli incursions persist.
KEYWORDS
MENTIONED ENTITIES 5
Tom Brake
👤 Person_MaleUS envoy seeking security arrangements between Damascus and Tel Aviv
Benjamin Netanyahu
👤 Person_MaleIsraeli Prime Minister wanted by the International Criminal Court
United States
📍 Location_CountryCountry seeking to mediate between Damascus and Tel Aviv
Damascus
📍 Location_CityCapital of Syria
Tel Aviv
📍 Location_CityCity in Israel